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2024-12-14 06:28:27

1. This time, boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand are put in the first place, which is basically consistent with the official media preheating. But I emphasized this piece yesterday. It's not that everyone doesn't want to spend, but that they don't have money to spend. It depends on whether the money issued by the special national debt can be cashed in, which will benefit big consumption in the short term, but the overall increase of this piece is really not small. Don't blindly chase after it.In a word, I will take the opportunity to make a downward adjustment today! In particular, some small tickets are a good time to take advantage of profit!Hang Seng Index futures closed early, so the feedback was not the actual situation. The A50 futures index exploded by more than 4 points at the end of the session, and the night market rose by 0.84%, so today it depends entirely on the opening of A shares. If it exceeds 3,500 points, the benefits will be directly digested. Once the funds can't keep up, it should be a high probability event to open higher and go lower.


In a word, I will take the opportunity to make a downward adjustment today! In particular, some small tickets are a good time to take advantage of profit!Secondly, the status of the stock market has obviously risen, but the last 500 billion swap facility+300 billion loan repurchase just pulled the index to 3509 points. This time, the expectation lies in the medium and long term. In addition to fighting chicken blood in the short term, it is not as effective as the substantial payment in early November. Don't rush to chase after it.3. The monetary policy has shifted from steady to moderately loose, which has been mentioned again since 2011. I don't need to say much, but this is expected, and it hasn't landed yet, and the above supplement is to keep the bottom line of systemic risk, so it won't be like the previous flood irrigation, at least in 2014. Leveraged cattle should be difficult to reproduce.


First, simply sort out the contents of the after-hours meeting:Generally speaking, if you can't speed up today, there will be a small high point in the short term, and then the rhythm will be more comfortable after adjusting for a few days! Otherwise, continue to open higher and move higher. Once the acceleration is less than expected, it is estimated that there will be a stage high point, just like on November 8, and continue to follow the rhythm of rising in large bands.Hong Kong stocks are mainly led by brokerage insurance, interior housing, consumption, technology and Internet giants. Today, under the A-share mapping, the above direction deserves special attention. However, I would like to remind you that after reading yesterday's resumption of trading, many small tickets and low-priced stocks that have been sizzled recently have shown signs of decline, so the way to break the position is to go on rallies, and the style switch behind should be a high probability event.

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